ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

North Carolina 6

Addison McDowell (R) · Cook PVI R+9 · last result 69.2% R

Addison McDowell
Public domain · Official portrait, United States Congress
R

Addison McDowell

91¢
Wikipedia bio

Addison Parker McDowell is an American politician and lobbyist serving as the U.S. representative for North Carolina's 6th congressional district since 2025. A member of the Republican Party, McDowell was first elected in 2024.

Source: Addison McDowell
91¢
Polymarket · Addison McDowell (R) · 91¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Addison McDowell (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Addison McDowell 91¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+3.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+1.3.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:35 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
PolymarketAddison McDowell 91¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 687 hours
PolymarketCyril Jefferson 10¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026
Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live

North Carolina 6 · ShowdownWire