Every race, live to the showdown

November 3, 2026

2026 Senate · House · Governors

Every race, live to the showdown.

Forecaster ratings, the polling average, and Kalshi and Polymarket prices on one wire, each with the time it was pulled.

Every rating. Both prices.

Forecasters, Kalshi, Polymarket, the poll, and the money on one row.

Disagreement index

1 race where Kalshi and Polymarket favor different parties

The plot puts each expert lens next to the price. A confidence gap is the same party, just a wider price.

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Drawing the map…

Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Tilt D
Toss-up
Tilt R
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
Not in the ratings table

What changed

Full change list

On the board

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15 D5 toss-up15 R

15 Democratic, 5 toss-up, 15 Republican by the consensus on the senate races in this view.

35

Decision Desk HQ

Democrats +7.8%

D 50.2 · R 42.4

Democrats +8.5%

D 51.7 · R 43.2

Democrats +8.0%

RealClearPolitics

Democrats +8.2%

D 50.8 · R 42.6

Silver Bulletin

Democrats +9.0%

D 50.1 · R 41.1

Democrats +8.3%

D 50.8 · R 42.5

ShowdownWire: Every race, live to the showdown