Washington 4
Dan Newhouse (R) · retiring · Cook PVI R+10 · last result 98.2% R
Dan Newhouse
Wikipedia bio
Daniel Milton Newhouse is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Washington's 4th congressional district. The district covers much of the central third of the state, including Yakima and the Tri-Cities.
Source: Dan NewhouseDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Dan Newhouse (R) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Amanda McKinney 93¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+18.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+19.2.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Safe R
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely R
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Solid R
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid R
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe R
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Safe R
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Solid R
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe R
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Amanda McKinney (R)93¢mid · spread 3¢
- John Duresky (D)7¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
Latest news
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 9:38 PM EDT · mode live