Washington 3

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) · Cook PVI R+2 · last result 51.7% D

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

90¢

Wikipedia bio

Kristina Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is an American politician serving as the United States representative for Washington's 3rd congressional district since 2023. A member of the Democratic Party, she is a co-chair of the Blue Dog Coalition.

Source: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

Polymarket · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) · 90¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 91¢ (mid). Polymarket Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 90¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+18.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+19.2.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Lean D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Lean D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tossup
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean D
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Likely D
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely D
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely D
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Lean D
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Likely D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 9:41 PM EDT

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez91¢mid · spread 0¢
John Braun8¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 9:41 PM EDT

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)90¢mid · spread 1¢
John Braun (R)8¢mid · spread 2¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

KalshiMarie Gluesenkamp Perez 91¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 55 hours

PolymarketMarie Gluesenkamp Perez 90¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours

KalshiJohn Braun 8¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

PolymarketJohn Braun 8¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

Trump approval hits record low in new surveyThe Hill — Campaign ·

What changed

market
Washington 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Washington 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Washington 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Washington 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Washington 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 9:38 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 9:38 PM EDT · mode live