ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Wyoming at-large

Harriet Hageman (R) · retiring · Cook PVI R+23 · last result 70.6% R

Harriet Hageman
Public domain · Official portrait, United States Congress
R

Harriet Hageman

Wikipedia bio

Harriet Maxine Hageman is an American politician and attorney serving as the U.S. representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district since 2023. She is the Republican nominee for the 2026 United States Senate election in Wyoming, seeking to succeed incumbent Cynthia Lummis.

Source: Harriet Hageman
94¢
Polymarket · Chuck Gray (R) · 94¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Harriet Hageman (R) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Chuck Gray 94¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+45.8. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+43.4.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:38 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
PolymarketChuck Gray 94¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 683 hours
PolymarketLisa Kinney 5¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026
Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live

Wyoming at-large · ShowdownWire