Wyoming Governor

Mark Gordon (R) · term-limited · Cook PVI R+23 · last result 74.07% R

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Republican

Eric Barlow

98¢

Wikipedia bio

Eric Barlow is an American politician currently serving as a Republican member of the Wyoming Senate since 2023. He previously served as the speaker of the Wyoming House of Representatives from 2021 to 2023 and as a member of the chamber representing District 3 from 2013 to 2023.

Source: Eric Barlow

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Democratic

Kenneth Casner

1¢

Polymarket price

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Constitution

Joseph Kibler

Polymarket · Eric Barlow (R) · 98¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Mark Gordon (R) is the incumbent, term-limited. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Eric Barlow 98¢ (mid). Polymarket Eric Barlow 98¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+45.8. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+43.4.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Solid R
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Safe R
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Safe R
RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Solid R
Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Solid R
Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Solid R

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

Eric Barlow98¢mid · spread 1¢
Kenneth Casner1¢mid · spread 2¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

Eric Barlow (R)98¢mid · spread 1¢
Kenneth Casner (D)1¢mid · spread 2¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

KalshiEric Barlow 98¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 27 hours

PolymarketEric Barlow 98¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 678 hours

KalshiKenneth Casner 1¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

PolymarketKenneth Casner 1¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
Wyoming Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Wyoming Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Wyoming Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Wyoming Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Wyoming Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live