Illinois 17

Eric Sorensen (D) · Cook PVI D+3 · last result 54.4% D

Eric Sorensen

97¢

Wikipedia bio

Eric Sorensen is an American politician and meteorologist serving as the U.S. representative for Illinois's 17th congressional district since 2023. His district covers a large swath of western and central Illinois, centered around Moline, Rock Island, and the Illinois side of the Quad Cities.

Source: Eric Sorensen (politician)

Polymarket · Eric Sorensen (D) · 97¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Eric Sorensen (D) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Eric Sorensen 95¢ (mid). Polymarket Eric Sorensen 97¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+10.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+17.0.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Safe D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid D
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Solid D
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid D
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe D
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Safe D
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 7:32 PM EDT

Eric Sorensen95¢mid · spread 2¢
Dillan Vancil4¢mid · spread 0¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 7:32 PM EDT

Eric Sorensen (D)97¢mid · spread 1¢
Dillan Vancil (R)3¢mid · spread 2¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 8:00 PM EDT

KalshiEric Sorensen 95¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 8 hours

PolymarketEric Sorensen 97¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours

KalshiDillan Vancil 4¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours

PolymarketDillan Vancil 3¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
Illinois 17: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Illinois 17: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Illinois 17: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Illinois 17: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Illinois 17: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live