Illinois Governor 2026

Name: 2026 Illinois Governor election
Start: 2026-11-03
End: 2026-11-03
Location: Illinois

JB Pritzker (D) · running · Cook PVI D+6 · last result 54.91% D

Safe DShare card

Republican

Darren Bailey

5¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Darren Bailey is an American politician who was a Republican member of the Illinois Senate for the 55th District and previously a member of the Illinois House of Representatives for the 109th District in Southern Illinois. Widely described by news outlets as a far-right politician, he was the Republican nominee for the 2022 Illinois gubernatorial election, losing to Democrat JB Pritzker.

Source: Darren Bailey

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Independent

Collin Corbett

Democratic

JB Pritzker

95¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Jay Robert Pritzker is an American politician, philanthropist, and businessman serving since 2019 as the 43rd governor of Illinois. He is a member of the Democratic Party.

Source: JB Pritzker

Polymarket · JB Pritzker (D) · 95¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

JB Pritzker (D) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi JB Pritzker 96¢ (mid). Polymarket JB Pritzker 95¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+10.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+17.0.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Safe D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid D
Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Likely D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Solid D
Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Solid D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

JB Pritzker96¢mid · spread 0¢
Darren Bailey5¢mid · spread 0¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

JB Pritzker (D)95¢mid · spread 2¢
Darren Bailey (R)5¢mid · spread 2¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT

WindowSep 20, 10:00 AM EDT

KalshiJB Pritzker 95¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 106 hours

PolymarketJB Pritzker 95¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours

KalshiDarren Bailey 5¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

PolymarketDarren Bailey 5¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

What changed

market
Illinois Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Illinois Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Illinois Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Illinois Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Illinois Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Illinois election office ↗

Updated Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live