Illinois Senate
Dick Durbin (D) · retiring · Cook PVI D+6 · last result 54.93% D
Whitfield Harrington Jr.
Juliana Stratton
Wikipedia bio
Juliana R. Stratton is an American lawyer and politician who has served as the 48th lieutenant governor of Illinois since 2019.
Source: Juliana StrattonDon Tracy
Wikipedia bio
Don Tracy is an American lawyer, Republican politician, and business owner. Tracy served as acting and confirmed chair of the Illinois Gaming Board (2015–2019), an appointee of then-Governor Bruce Rauner, and as chair of the Illinois Republican Party (2021–2024), succeeding Tim Schneider.
Source: Don TracyDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Dick Durbin (D) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Juliana Stratton 99¢ (mid). Polymarket Juliana Stratton 99¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+10.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+17.0.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct 6, 2026Solid D
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct 14, 2026Safe D
- Inside ElectionsOct 15, 2026Solid D
- Decision Desk HQOct 15, 2026Safe D
- RealClearPoliticsOct 12, 2026Solid D
- Silver BulletinOct 15, 2026Solid D
- FiftyPlusOneOct 17, 2026Safe D
- The EconomistOct 15, 2026Safe D
- Fox NewsOct 13, 2026Solid D
- Split TicketOct 18, 2026Safe D
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Juliana Stratton (D)99¢mid · spread 1¢
- Don Tracy (R)1¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
- marketIllinois Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketIllinois Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketIllinois Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketIllinois Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live