Oklahoma 1
Kevin Hern (R) · retiring · Cook PVI R+11 · last result 60.4% R
Kevin Hern
Wikipedia bio
Kevin Ray Hern is an American politician and businessman from Oklahoma. A Republican, he has been a member of the United States House of Representatives for Oklahoma's 1st congressional district since 2018.
Source: Kevin HernDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Kevin Hern (R) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Mark Tedford 98¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+34.3. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+33.1.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Safe R
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely R
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Solid R
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid R
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe R
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Safe R
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Solid R
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe R
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Mark Tedford (R)98¢mid · spread 3¢
- John Croisant (D)2¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
Latest news
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live