Oklahoma Governor

Kevin Stitt (R) · term-limited · Cook PVI R+17 · last result 55.45% R

Safe RShare card

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Independent

Robert Brooks Sr.

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Independent

Orlando Bush

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Independent

Jerry Griffin

Republican

Mike Mazzei

89¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Michael Paul Mazzei is an American politician from Oklahoma. A Republican, he served in the Oklahoma Senate from 2004 to 2016 and as Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt's Secretary of Budget from 2019 to 2020.

Source: Mike Mazzei

Democratic

Cyndi Munson

10¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Cyndi Ann Munson is an American politician who has served as a member of the Oklahoma House of Representatives from the 85th district since 2015. A member of the Democratic Party, she has served as minority leader of the Oklahoma House of Representatives since 2022.

Source: Cyndi Munson

Polymarket · Mike Mazzei (R) · 89¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Kevin Stitt (R) is the incumbent, term-limited. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Mike Mazzei 90¢ (mid). Polymarket Mike Mazzei 89¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+34.3. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+33.1.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Likely R
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Safe R
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Likely R
Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Safe R
RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Solid R
Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Likely R
Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Solid R

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 8:35 PM EDT

Mike Mazzei90¢mid · spread 1¢
Cyndi Munson10¢mid · spread 0¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:35 PM EDT

Mike Mazzei (R)89¢mid · spread 2¢
Cyndi Munson (D)10¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 9:00 PM EDT

KalshiMike Mazzei 90¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 87 hours

PolymarketMike Mazzei 89¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 684 hours

KalshiCyndi Munson 10¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours

PolymarketCyndi Munson 10¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

The Senate map driving Trump’s late-stage travel blitzThe Hill — Campaign ·

What changed

market
Oklahoma Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Oklahoma Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Oklahoma Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Oklahoma Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Oklahoma Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live