Oregon 5

Janelle Bynum (D) · Cook PVI D+4 · last result 47.7% D

Janelle Bynum

96¢

Wikipedia bio

Janelle Sojourner Bynum is an American politician and businesswoman serving as the U.S. representative for Oregon's 5th congressional district since 2025. A member of the Democratic Party, she previously served in the Oregon House of Representatives from 2017 to 2025.

Source: Janelle Bynum

Polymarket · Janelle Bynum (D) · 96¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Janelle Bynum (D) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Janelle Bynum 95¢ (mid). Polymarket Janelle Bynum 96¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+14.3. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+16.1.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Likely D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid D
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Safe D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Solid D
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid D
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe D
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Safe D
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

Janelle Bynum95¢mid · spread 2¢
Patti Adair4¢mid · spread 2¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

Janelle Bynum (D)96¢mid · spread 2¢
Patti Adair (R)3¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

KalshiJanelle Bynum 95¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 18 hours

PolymarketJanelle Bynum 96¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 681 hours

KalshiPatti Adair 4¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

PolymarketPatti Adair 3¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
Oregon 5: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live