South Carolina 2

Joe Wilson (R) · Cook PVI R+7 · last result 59.5% R

Joe Wilson

87¢

Wikipedia bio

Addison Graves "Joe" Wilson Sr. is an American politician and attorney serving as the U.S. representative for South Carolina's 2nd congressional district since 2001. A member of the Republican Party, his district stretches from Columbia to the Georgia–South Carolina border.

Source: Joe Wilson

Polymarket · Joe Wilson (R) · 87¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Joe Wilson (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Joe Wilson 87¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+17.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+11.7.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid R
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Safe R
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely R
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Solid R
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid R
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely R
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely R
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Solid R
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe R

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 10:32 PM EDT

Joe Wilson (R)87¢mid · spread 2¢
Other51¢mid · spread 97¢
B50¢mid · spread 98¢
A50¢mid · spread 97¢
Zyon Khalifa (D)12¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

PolymarketJoe Wilson 87¢ at Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 691 hours

PolymarketOther 51¢ at Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT· hourly pull · 7 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
South Carolina 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
South Carolina 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
South Carolina 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
South Carolina 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
South Carolina 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT · mode live