South Carolina Governor 2026
Henry McMaster (R) · term-limited · Cook PVI R+8 · last result 58.04% R
Alan Wilson
Wikipedia bio
Alan McCrory Wilson is an American lawyer, politician, and military officer who has served as the 51st attorney general of South Carolina since 2011. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Source: Alan Wilson (politician)Jermaine Johnson
Wikipedia bio
Dr. Jermaine Lafrance Johnson Sr. is an American politician, political advisor and former professional basketball player. A member of the Democratic Party, he is the member for South Carolina House of Representatives representing the 52nd district.
Source: Jermaine Johnson (politician)Desk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Henry McMaster (R) is the incumbent, term-limited. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Alan Wilson +8.7. Kalshi Alan Wilson 93¢ (mid). Polymarket Alan Wilson 93¢ (mid). The poll’s Democratic edge is 75.7 points larger than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+17.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+11.7.
Polling average
- Alan Wilson (R)46.7%
- Jermaine Johnson (D)38%
mean of 3 most recent individual polls (no aggregator table on the Wikipedia general-election section). Equal-weighted. Not a model.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Solid R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Safe R
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
- Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Lean R
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Likely R
- Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Solid R
- Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Solid R
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Alan Wilson93¢mid · spread 0¢
- Jermaine Johnson7¢mid · spread 0¢
- Alan Wilson (R)93¢mid · spread 1¢
- Jermaine Johnson (D)8¢mid · spread 0¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
n/a (governors file with states, not the FEC)
Recent polls
- Resonance MediaSeptember 29 – October 3, 2026638 (RV) ± 3.7%Alan Wilson 45 · Jermaine Johnson 35
- Hart Research (D)August 12–15, 2026600 (V) —Alan Wilson 50 · Jermaine Johnson 42
- Public Policy Polling (D)July 16–17, 2026577 (V) —Alan Wilson 45 · Jermaine Johnson 37
Table via Wikipedia.
What changed
- marketSouth Carolina Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketSouth Carolina Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketSouth Carolina Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketSouth Carolina Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketSouth Carolina Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.
· snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live