ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

South Carolina Senate

Darline Graham (R) · running · Cook PVI R+8 · last result Appointed (2026)

Likely RShare card
Darline Graham
Public domain · Rosa Pineda, United States Senate
R

Darline Graham

83¢
Polymarket price
Wikipedia bio

Darline Lettie Graham Nordone is an American politician and public administrator serving as the junior United States senator from South Carolina, a seat she has held since July 14, 2026. A member of the Republican Party, she was appointed to fill the vacancy created by the death of her older brother, Lindsey Graham.

Source: Darline Graham
VS
Annie Andrews
CC0 · Stimpus1
D

Annie Andrews

18¢
Polymarket price
Wikipedia bio

Anne Elizabeth Lintzenich Andrews is an American pediatrician and political candidate who is the Democratic nominee for the 2026 United States Senate election in South Carolina.

Source: Annie Andrews (pediatrician)
83¢
Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) · 83¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Darline Graham (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Likely R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Darline Graham +1.8. Kalshi Darline Graham 84¢ (mid). Polymarket Darline Graham Nordone 83¢ (mid). The poll’s Democratic edge is 63.7 points larger than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+17.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+11.7. GRAHAM, LINDSEY O. leads the stored FEC receipts at $21,650,508.

Polling average

  • Darline Graham (R)46%
  • Annie Andrews (D)44.2%

mean of 4 published aggregator averages, equal-weighted. The Wikipedia 'Average' row is not included, so this is not a double count. Undecided is left as published and is not allocated.

Polling averageas of October 3, 2026

Published aggregator averages

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 7:29 PM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 7:29 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiDarline Graham 84¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 380 hours
PolymarketDarline Graham Nordone 84¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 678 hours
KalshiAnnie Andrews 17¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours
PolymarketAnnie Andrews 18¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 AM EDT · Trafalgar Group (R) field ended
Marker Oct 8, 8:00 AM EDT · Rasmussen Reports (R) field ended
Marker Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDT · InsiderAdvantage (R) field ended
Marker Sep 25, 8:00 AM EDT · Trafalgar Group (R) field ended
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 6, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 15, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

  • GRAHAM, LINDSEY O.
    REPUBLICAN PARTY · raised $21,650,508 · cash $314,880
    Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
  • ANDREWS, ANNIE
    DEMOCRATIC PARTY · raised $20,173,697 · cash $2,307,632
    Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
  • LYNCH, MARK
    REPUBLICAN PARTY · raised $5,924,362 · cash $93,869
    Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
  • NORMAN, RALPH
    REPUBLICAN PARTY · raised $3,176,283 · cash $52,125
    Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot

Recent polls

Table via Wikipedia.

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live

South Carolina Senate · ShowdownWire