ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Wisconsin 7

Tom Tiffany (R) · retiring · Cook PVI R+11 · last result 63.6% R

Tom Tiffany
Public domain · US House of Representatives
R

Tom Tiffany

Wikipedia bio

Thomas Patrick Tiffany is an American politician and businessman from Wisconsin. A member of the United States House of Representatives, he has represented Wisconsin's 7th congressional district since 2020.

Source: Tom Tiffany
95¢
Polymarket · Michael Alfonso (R) · 95¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Tom Tiffany (R) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Michael Alfonso 95¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+0.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+0.6.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 10:32 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
PolymarketMichael Alfonso 95¢ at Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 675 hours
PolymarketFred Clark 4¢ at Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT· hourly pull · 7 hours
Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026
Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT · mode live

Wisconsin 7 · ShowdownWire