Mississippi Senate

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · running · Cook PVI R+11 · last result 54.11% R

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Democratic

Scott Colom

13¢

Wikipedia bio

Scott Winston Colom is an American lawyer and politician serving as the district attorney for the 16th Judicial District of Mississippi. He is the Democratic nominee in the 2026 United States Senate election in Mississippi.

Source: Scott Colom

Republican

Cindy Hyde-Smith

88¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Cindy Hyde-Smith is an American politician and lobbyist serving since 2018 as the junior United States senator from Mississippi. A member of the Republican Party, she served from 2012 to 2018 as the Mississippi Commissioner of Agriculture and Commerce and from 2000 to 2012 in the Mississippi State Senate.

Source: Cindy Hyde-Smith

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Independent

Ty Pinkins

Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · 88¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Cindy Hyde-Smith 89¢ (mid). Polymarket Cindy Hyde-Smith 88¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+22.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+16.5.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct 6, 2026Solid R
Sabato's Crystal BallOct 14, 2026Likely R
Inside ElectionsOct 15, 2026Solid R
Decision Desk HQOct 15, 2026Likely R
RealClearPoliticsOct 12, 2026Solid R
Silver BulletinOct 15, 2026Solid R
FiftyPlusOneOct 17, 2026Likely R
The EconomistOct 15, 2026Likely R
Fox NewsOct 13, 2026Solid R
Split TicketOct 18, 2026Safe R

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 7:29 PM EDT

Cindy Hyde-Smith89¢mid · spread 1¢
Scott Colom12¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 7:29 PM EDT

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)88¢mid · spread 1¢
Scott Colom (D)13¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 8:00 PM EDT

KalshiCindy Hyde-Smith 89¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 194 hours

PolymarketCindy Hyde-Smith 88¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 692 hours

KalshiScott Colom 12¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours

PolymarketScott Colom 13¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 6, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 15, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 13, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 12, 2026

Marker Oct 13, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 14, 2026

Marker Oct 17, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 18, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

Can Scott Colom win Mississippi Senate? Warnock is making a big bet on it.Politico — Politics ·

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live