Nebraska Senate
Pete Ricketts (R) · running · Cook PVI R+10 · last result 62.58% R (2024 sp. )
Pete Ricketts
Wikipedia bio
John Peter Ricketts is an American businessman and politician serving as the junior United States senator from Nebraska since 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he served as the 40th governor of Nebraska from 2015 to 2023.
Source: Pete Ricketts
Dan Osborn
Wikipedia bio
Daniel L. Osborn is an American labor union leader and independent politician from Nebraska.
Source: Dan OsbornDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Pete Ricketts (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Lean R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Pete Ricketts +1.1. Kalshi Pete Ricketts 74¢ (mid). Polymarket Pete Ricketts 72¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+20.5. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+19.1. RICKETTS, PETE leads the stored FEC receipts at $13,405,556.
Polling average
- Pete Ricketts (R)46.6%
- Dan Osborn (I)45.5%
mean of 4 published aggregator averages, equal-weighted. The Wikipedia 'Average' row is not included, so this is not a double count. Undecided is left as published and is not allocated.
Published aggregator averages
- 270toWinRicketts +1.6% · updated October 2, 2026
- Decision Desk HQRicketts +1.7% · updated October 12, 2026
- FiftyPlusOneRicketts +0.7% · updated October 12, 2026
- Silver BulletinRicketts +0.3% · updated October 6, 2026
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct 6, 2026Likely R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct 14, 2026Lean R
- Inside ElectionsOct 15, 2026Lean R
- Decision Desk HQOct 15, 2026Likely R
- RealClearPoliticsOct 12, 2026Lean R
- Silver BulletinOct 15, 2026Lean R
- FiftyPlusOneOct 17, 2026Likely R
- The EconomistOct 15, 2026Lean R
- Fox NewsOct 13, 2026Likely R
- Split TicketOct 18, 2026Lean R
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Pete Ricketts74¢mid · spread 1¢
- Dan Osborn27¢mid · spread 1¢
- Pete Ricketts (R)72¢mid · spread 1¢
- Independent30¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
- RICKETTS, PETEREPUBLICAN PARTY · raised $13,405,556 · cash $1,073,044Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
- OSBORN, DANINDEPENDENT · raised $9,805,860 · cash $2,210,572Through 2026-10-14 · carried from the previous snapshot
- BURBANK, CINDY· raised $48,610 · cash $23,108Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
- MARVIN, MIKEOTHER · raised $27,750 · cash $0Through 2026-09-11 · carried from the previous snapshot
Recent polls
- National Public Affairs (R)October 2–5, 2026800 (LV) ± 4.0%Pete Ricketts 46 · Dan Osborn 43
- National Public Affairs (R)October 2–5, 2026800 (LV) ± 4.0%Pete Ricketts 49 · Dan Osborn 46
- YouGovSeptember 24 – October 3, 20261,809 (LV) ± 3.3%Pete Ricketts 47 · Dan Osborn 48
- co/efficient (R)September 28–30, 20261,113 (LV) ± 2.92%Pete Ricketts 48 · Dan Osborn 43
- co/efficient (R)September 28–30, 20261,113 (LV) ± 2.92%Pete Ricketts 45 · Dan Osborn 40
- Wedgewood PollsSeptember 14–16, 2026500 (LV) ± 4.4%Pete Ricketts 52 · Dan Osborn 48
Table via Wikipedia.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live