Vermont Governor 2026
Phil Scott (R) · running · Cook PVI D+17 · last result 73.43% R
Phil Scott
Wikipedia bio
Philip Brian Scott is an American politician, stock car racer, and businessman who has served since 2017 as the 82nd governor of Vermont. A member of the Republican Party, he was a representative for the Washington District in the Vermont Senate from 2001 to 2011 and the 81st lieutenant governor of Vermont from 2011 to 2017.
Source: Phil Scott
Desk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Phil Scott (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Likely R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Phil Scott +5.6. Kalshi Phil Scott 77¢ (mid). Polymarket Phil Scott 76¢ (mid). The poll’s Democratic edge is 46.2 points larger than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+31.5. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+35.4.
Polling average
- Phil Scott (R)43.8%
- Amanda Janoo (D)38.2%
mean of 5 most recent individual polls (no aggregator table on the Wikipedia general-election section). Equal-weighted. Not a model.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Likely R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Likely R
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Likely R
- Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Likely R
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Lean R
- Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Lean R
- Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Likely R
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Phil Scott77¢mid · spread 1¢
- Amanda Janoo25¢mid · spread 1¢
- Phil Scott (R)76¢mid · spread 1¢
- Amanda Janoo (D)24¢mid · spread 0¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
n/a (governors file with states, not the FEC)
Recent polls
- State NavigateOctober 2–4, 2026948 (LV) ± 3.2%Phil Scott 46 · Amanda Janoo 43
- Braun Research/ Vermont PublicSeptember 10–21, 2026817 (RV) ± 3.4%Phil Scott 42 · Amanda Janoo 32
- Braun Research/ Vermont PublicSeptember 10–21, 2026737 (LV) ± 3.4%Phil Scott 44 · Amanda Janoo 34
- University of New HampshireSeptember 17–21, 2026829 (LV) ± 3.3%Phil Scott 43 · Amanda Janoo 49
- University of New HampshireJuly 15–20, 2026954 (LV) ± 3.2%Phil Scott 44 · Amanda Janoo 33
- University of New HampshireJune 18–23, 2026887 (LV) ± 3.3%Phil Scott 42 · Amanda Janoo 27
Table via Wikipedia.
Latest news
What changed
- marketVermont Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.
· snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live