Kansas Governor
Laura Kelly (D) · term-limited · Cook PVI R+8 · last result 49.54% D
Cindy Holscher
Wikipedia bio
Cynthia L. Holscher is an American politician who represented the 16th district in the Kansas House of Representatives from 2017 to 2020 and has represented the 8th district in the Kansas Senate since 2021.
Source: Cindy Holscher
Ty Masterson
Wikipedia bio
Ty Masterson is an American politician who is the president of the Kansas Senate. A member of the Republican Party, he has represented the 16th district since 2009.
Source: Ty MastersonDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Laura Kelly (D) is the incumbent, term-limited. The ratings consensus is Lean R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Ty Masterson +5.3. Kalshi Ty Masterson 76¢ (mid). Polymarket Ty Masterson 76¢ (mid). The poll’s Democratic edge is 47.2 points larger than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+16.1. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+14.6. Ticker year is 27. Rules say the 2026 election.
Polling average
- Cindy Holscher (D)44.5%
- Ty Masterson (R)49.8%
mean of 3 published aggregator averages, equal-weighted. The Wikipedia 'Average' row is not included, so this is not a double count. Undecided is left as published and is not allocated.
Published aggregator averages
- 270toWinMasterson +6.0% · updated October 4, 2026
- RealClearPoliticsMasterson +5.7% · updated October 6, 2026
- Silver BulletinMasterson +4.2% · updated October 6, 2026
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tilt R (flip)
- Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Lean R (flip)
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Tossup
- Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Lean R (flip)
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
Ticker year is 27. Rules say the 2026 election.
- Ty Masterson76¢mid · spread 1¢
- Cindy Holscher25¢mid · spread 1¢
- Ty Masterson (R)76¢mid · spread 2¢
- Cindy Holscher (D)24¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
n/a (governors file with states, not the FEC)
Recent polls
- YouGovSeptember 24 – October 4, 20262,255 (LV) ± 3.2%Cindy Holscher 44 · Ty Masterson 47
- New York Times / Siena UniversitySeptember 22–30, 2026605 (LV) ± 2.1%Cindy Holscher 44 · Ty Masterson 49
- Wedgewood PollsSeptember 22–24, 2026500 (LV) ± 4.4%Cindy Holscher 48 · Ty Masterson 52
- Emerson CollegeSeptember 15–16, 2026750 (LV) ± 3.6%Cindy Holscher 44 · Ty Masterson 51
- Global Strategy Group (D)September 13–16, 2026800 (LV) ± 3.5%Cindy Holscher 49 · Ty Masterson 46
- co/efficient (R)September 8–10, 2026915 (LV) ± 3.2%Cindy Holscher 43 · Ty Masterson 51
Table via Wikipedia.
Latest news
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live