Arizona 2026

6 rated races and 4 House seats no forecaster rates as competitive. Market prices are prices, not forecasts.

• GovernorArizona GovernorPolymarket: Democrat Katie Hobbs 93%Leans Democratic
• HouseArizona’s 1st DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Amish Shah 82%Leans Democratic
• HouseArizona’s 2nd DistrictPolymarket: Republican Eli Crane 74%Leans Republican
• HouseArizona’s 5th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Mark Lamb 90%Safely Republican
• HouseArizona’s 6th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat JoAnna Mendoza 85%Leans Democratic
• HouseArizona’s 8th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Abraham Hamadeh 88%Safely Republican