Arizona 6
Juan Ciscomani (R) · Cook PVI EVEN · last result 50.0% R
Juan Ciscomani
Wikipedia bio
Juan Ciscomani III is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Arizona's 6th congressional district since 2023. A Republican, he was a senior adviser to former Governor Doug Ducey and vice chair of the Arizona-Mexico Commission.
Source: Juan CiscomaniDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Juan Ciscomani (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi JoAnna Mendoza 84¢ (mid). Polymarket JoAnna Mendoza 84¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+5.5. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+0.3.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Tossup
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Tossup
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tossup
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Lean D (flip)
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely D (flip)
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe D (flip)
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- JoAnna Mendoza84¢mid · spread 2¢
- Juan Ciscomani17¢mid · spread 1¢
- JoAnna Mendoza (D)84¢mid · spread 1¢
- Juan Ciscomani (R)16¢mid · spread 3¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live