Arizona 2
Eli Crane (R) · Cook PVI R+7 · last result 54.5% R
Eli Crane
Wikipedia bio
Elijah James Crane is an American politician, businessman, and former United States Navy SEAL serving as the U.S. representative for Arizona's 2nd congressional district since 2023. He is a member of the Republican Party and the Freedom Caucus, the most conservative House Republican group.
Source: Eli CraneDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Eli Crane (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Eli Crane 77¢ (mid). Polymarket Eli Crane 74¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+5.5. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+0.3.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Likely R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Likely R
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Likely R
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely R
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean R
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Likely R
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Lean R
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Tossup
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Likely R
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Tossup
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Eli Crane (R)74¢mid · spread 1¢
- Jonathan Nez (D)27¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT · mode live