New Mexico 2026

3 rated races and 2 House seats no forecaster rates as competitive. Market prices are prices, not forecasts.

• SenateNew Mexico SenatePolymarket: Democrat Ben Ray Luján 98%Safely Democratic
• GovernorNew Mexico GovernorPolymarket: Democrat Deb Haaland 95%Likely Democratic
• HouseNew Mexico’s 2nd DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Gabe Vasquez 92%Likely Democratic