Minnesota Governor 2026

Name: 2026 Minnesota Governor election
Start: 2026-11-03
End: 2026-11-03
Location: Minnesota

Tim Walz (D) · retiring · Cook PVI D+3 · last result 52.27% DFL

Likely DShare card

Republican

Lisa Demuth

6¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Lisa Demuth is an American politician serving since 2025 as the speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives. A member of the Republican Party of Minnesota, Demuth represents District 13A in central Minnesota, which includes the cities of St. Joseph and Cold Spring and parts of Stearns County.

Source: Lisa Demuth

DFL

Amy Klobuchar

95¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Amy Jean Klobuchar is an American politician and lawyer serving as the senior United States senator from Minnesota, a seat she has held since 2007. A member of the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (DFL), Minnesota's affiliate of the Democratic Party, she served from 1999 to 2007 as county attorney of Hennepin County, Minnesota.

Source: Amy Klobuchar

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Green

Steven Young

Polymarket · Amy Klobuchar (D) · 95¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Tim Walz (D) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Likely D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Amy Klobuchar 95¢ (mid). Polymarket Amy Klobuchar 95¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+4.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+7.1.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Safe D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Likely D
Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Likely D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Likely D
Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Likely D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

Amy Klobuchar95¢mid · spread 1¢
Lisa Demuth5¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

Amy Klobuchar (D)95¢mid · spread 2¢
Lisa Demuth (R)6¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT

WindowSep 20, 10:00 AM EDT

KalshiAmy Klobuchar 95¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 140 hours

PolymarketAmy Klobuchar 95¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 695 hours

KalshiLisa Demuth 5¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

PolymarketLisa Demuth 6¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
Minnesota Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Minnesota Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Minnesota Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Minnesota Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Minnesota Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Minnesota election office ↗

Updated Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live