Minnesota’s 2nd District 2026

Name: 2026 U.S. House election, Minnesota’s 2nd District
Start: 2026-11-03
End: 2026-11-03
Location: Minnesota’s 2nd District

Angie Craig (D) · retiring · Cook PVI D+3 · last result 55.6% D

Safe DShare card

Angie Craig

Wikipedia bio

Angela Dawn Craig is an American politician, retired journalist, and former businesswoman. A member of the Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (DFL), she has served as the U.S. representative for Minnesota's 2nd congressional district since 2019.

Source: Angie Craig

Polymarket · Matt Little (D) · 95¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Angie Craig (D) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Matt Little 95¢ (mid). Polymarket Matt Little 95¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+4.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+7.1.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Likely D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Likely D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Likely D
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Safe D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Likely D
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid D
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe D
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Safe D
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Likely D
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:15 AM EDT

Matt Little95¢mid · spread 0¢
Eric Pratt4¢mid · spread 3¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:15 AM EDT

Matt Little (D)95¢mid · spread 1¢
Eric Pratt (R)4¢mid · spread 3¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT

WindowSep 20, 10:00 AM EDT

KalshiMatt Little 95¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 28 hours

PolymarketMatt Little 95¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 693 hours

KalshiEric Pratt 4¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

PolymarketEric Pratt 4¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

House Democrat calls out colleagues over 'dangerous' PikerThe Hill — Campaign ·

What changed

market
Minnesota 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Minnesota 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Minnesota 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Minnesota 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Minnesota 2: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Minnesota election office ↗

Updated Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live