ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

New York’s 11th District 2026

No incumbent listed

No consensusShare card
95¢
Polymarket · Nicole Malliotakis (R) · 95¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

No forecaster rating is stored for this seat. That is not a Safe rating. Polymarket Nicole Malliotakis 95¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+12.6. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+23.1.

This seat is not in the Wikipedia non-safe ratings table. No rating is assigned here.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

    Markets

    Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

    PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 2:06 AM EDT

    PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

    Price history

    through Oct 20, 2:06 AM EDT
    0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
    PolymarketNicole Malliotakis 95¢ at Oct 20, 2:06 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 691 hours
    PolymarketMichael DeCillis 6¢ at Oct 20, 2:06 AM EDT· hourly pull · 12 hours

    Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

    Money

    No FEC snapshot for this race.

    Recent polls

    No individual polls in this snapshot.

    What changed

    No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

    Results

    Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

    Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

    Official results: New York election office ↗

    · snapshot Oct 20, 1:54 AM EDT · mode live

    2026 New York’s 11th District House Race (NY-11): Odds | ShowdownWire