New York 1
Nick LaLota (R) · Cook PVI R+4 · last result 55.2% R
Nick LaLota
Wikipedia bio
Nicholas Joseph LaLota is an American politician and veteran serving since 2023 as the U.S. representative for New York's 1st congressional district. He is a member of the Republican Party.
Source: Nick LaLotaDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Nick LaLota (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Likely R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Nick LaLota 86¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+12.6. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+23.1.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Likely R
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Lean R
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Likely R
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Likely R
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Lean R
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Lean R
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Likely R
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Likely R
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Nick LaLota (R)86¢mid · spread 1¢
- Chris Gallant (D)14¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 9:38 PM EDT · mode live