Pennsylvania 1
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · Cook PVI D+1 · last result 56.4% R
Brian Fitzpatrick
Wikipedia bio
Brian Kevin Fitzpatrick is an American politician, attorney, and former FBI agent serving in the U.S. House of Representatives since 2017. His district in Pennsylvania, which was numbered the 8th district during his first term and the 1st district since 2019, includes all of Bucks County, a mostly suburban county north of Philadelphia, as well as a sliver of Montgomery County.
Source: Brian Fitzpatrick (American politician)Desk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Toss-up. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Brian Fitzpatrick 65¢ (mid). Polymarket Brian Fitzpatrick 63¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+1.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+1.2.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Lean R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Lean R
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Lean R
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Lean R
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Tossup
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Tossup
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Lean R
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Tossup
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Tossup
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Brian Fitzpatrick65¢mid · spread 1¢
- Bob Harvie36¢mid · spread 1¢
- Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63¢mid · spread 1¢
- Bob Harvie (D)39¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live