Pennsylvania 10
Scott Perry (R) · Cook PVI R+3 · last result 50.6% R
Scott Perry
Wikipedia bio
Scott Gordon Perry is an American politician and retired Army National Guard brigadier general who is the U.S. representative for Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, serving since 2013. The district, numbered as Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district from 2013 to 2019, is centered around Harrisburg, York, and most of their inner suburbs in Dauphin, Cumberland, and York counties.
Source: Scott PerryDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Scott Perry (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Janelle Stelson 80¢ (mid). Polymarket Janelle Stelson 81¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+1.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+1.2.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Tossup
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tossup
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Likely D (flip)
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely D (flip)
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Janelle Stelson80¢mid · spread 1¢
- Scott Perry20¢mid · spread 1¢
- Janelle Stelson (D)81¢mid · spread 2¢
- Scott Perry (R)20¢mid · spread 2¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live