ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Virginia 1

Rob Wittman (R) · Cook PVI R+3 · last result 56.4% R

Toss-upShare card
Rob Wittman
Public domain · Official portrait, United States Congress
R

Rob Wittman

42¢
Wikipedia bio

Robert Joseph Wittman is an American politician and environmental health specialist serving as the U.S. representative for Virginia's 1st congressional district since 2007. A member of the Republican Party, his district contains portions of the Richmond suburbs and Hampton Roads area, as well as the Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula.

Source: Rob Wittman
59¢
Polymarket · Shannon Taylor (D) · 59¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Rob Wittman (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Toss-up. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Shannon Taylor 59¢ (mid). Polymarket Shannon Taylor 59¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+5.8. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+10.1.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiShannon Taylor 59¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 189 hours
PolymarketShannon Taylor 59¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 678 hours
KalshiRob Wittman 43¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours
PolymarketRob Wittman 42¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours
Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026
Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live

Virginia 1 · ShowdownWire