Virginia Senate
Mark Warner (D) · running · Cook PVI D+3 · last result 55.99% D
Bert Mizusawa
Wikipedia bio
Bert Kameaaloha Mizusawa is a retired major general in the United States Army, serving in the Army from 1979 to 2015. Mizusawa also served in the United States Senate as a professional staff member and as a Senior Executive in the Pentagon, making him one of only a handful of individuals to serve at flag rank in the military as well as in both the legislative and executive branches.
Source: Bert Mizusawa
Mark Warner
Wikipedia bio
Mark Robert Warner is an American politician and businessman serving as the senior United States senator from Virginia, a seat he has held since 2009. A member of the Democratic Party, Warner served from 2002 to 2006 as the 69th governor of Virginia.
Source: Mark WarnerDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Mark Warner (D) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Mark Warner 98¢ (mid). Polymarket Mark Warner 98¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+5.8. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+10.1.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct 6, 2026Solid D
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct 14, 2026Safe D
- Inside ElectionsOct 15, 2026Solid D
- Decision Desk HQOct 15, 2026Safe D
- RealClearPoliticsOct 12, 2026Solid D
- Silver BulletinOct 15, 2026Solid D
- FiftyPlusOneOct 17, 2026Safe D
- The EconomistOct 15, 2026Safe D
- Fox NewsOct 13, 2026Solid D
- Split TicketOct 18, 2026Safe D
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Mark Warner98¢mid · spread 1¢
- Bert Mizusawa2¢mid · spread 1¢
- Mark Warner (D)98¢mid · spread 2¢
- Bert Mizusawa (R)2¢mid · spread 2¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
- marketVirginia Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketVirginia Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketVirginia Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketVirginia Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live