Georgia Senate 2026
Jon Ossoff (D) · running · Cook PVI R+1 · last result 50.62% D
Jon Ossoff
Wikipedia bio
Thomas Jonathan Ossoff ( OSS-off; born February 16, 1987) is an American politician who has served as the senior United States senator from Georgia since 2021. He is the youngest incumbent U.S. senator, and a member of the Democratic Party.
Source: Jon Ossoff
Mike Collins
Wikipedia bio
Michael Allen Collins Jr. (born July 2, 1967) is an American politician and businessman serving as the U.S. representative for Georgia's 10th congressional district since 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he is the party's nominee for U.S. Senate in Georgia for 2026.
Source: Mike Collins (politician)Desk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Jon Ossoff (D) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Likely D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Jon Ossoff +8.5. Kalshi Jon Ossoff 95¢ (mid). Polymarket Jon Ossoff 96¢ (mid). The poll’s Democratic edge is 83.3 points smaller than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+2.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+0.2. OSSOFF, T. JONATHAN leads the stored FEC receipts at $131,133,034.
Polling average
- Jon Ossoff (D)51.7%
- Mike Collins (R)43.2%
mean of 5 published aggregator averages, equal-weighted. The Wikipedia 'Average' row is not included, so this is not a double count. Undecided is left as published and is not allocated.
Published aggregator averages
- 270toWinOssoff +7.6% · updated October 4, 2026
- Decision Desk HQOssoff +8.8% · updated October 11, 2026
- FiftyPlusOneOssoff +9.2% · updated October 10, 2026
- RealClearPoliticsOssoff +8.1% · updated October 11, 2026
- Silver BulletinOssoff +9.0% · updated October 11, 2026
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct 6, 2026Likely D
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct 14, 2026Likely D
- Inside ElectionsOct 15, 2026Lean D
- Decision Desk HQOct 19, 2026Likely D
- RealClearPoliticsOct 12, 2026Lean D
- Silver BulletinOct 19, 2026Solid D
- FiftyPlusOneOct 19, 2026Safe D
- The EconomistOct 19, 2026Likely D
- Fox NewsOct 13, 2026Likely D
- Split TicketOct 19, 2026Safe D
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Jon Ossoff95¢mid · spread 0¢
- Mike Collins5¢mid · spread 1¢
- Jon Ossoff (D)96¢mid · spread 0¢
- Mike Collins (R)4¢mid · spread 0¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
- OSSOFF, T. JONATHANDEMOCRATIC PARTY · raised $131,133,034 · cash $26,269,062Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
- COLLINS, MICHAEL A JRREPUBLICAN PARTY · raised $10,249,716 · cash $1,159,314Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
- CARTER, EARL LEROYREPUBLICAN PARTY · raised $7,323,301 · cash $58,641Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
- KING, JOHNREPUBLICAN PARTY · raised $563,078 · cash $0Through 2026-01-31 · carried from the previous snapshot
Recent polls
- Quantus Insights (R)October 15–17, 2026755 (LV) ± 3.8%Jon Ossoff 52 · Mike Collins 45
- Quantus Insights (R)October 15–17, 2026755 (LV) ± 3.8%Jon Ossoff 53 · Mike Collins 45
- Quantus Insights (R)October 15–17, 2026755 (LV) ± 3.8%Jon Ossoff 54 · Mike Collins 46
- Trafalgar Group (R)October 7–9, 20261,101 (LV) ± 2.9%Jon Ossoff 51 · Mike Collins 43
- Wedgewood PollsOctober 2–3, 2026600 (LV) ± 4.0%Jon Ossoff 55 · Mike Collins 45
- InsiderAdvantage (R)September 22–23, 20261,200 (LV) ± 4.0%Jon Ossoff 50 · Mike Collins 42
Table via Wikipedia.
Latest news
What changed
- marketGeorgia Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketGeorgia Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketGeorgia Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketGeorgia Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.
· snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live