ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Georgia Governor 2026

Brian Kemp (R) · term-limited · Cook PVI R+1 · last result 53.41% R

Toss-upShare card
Rick Jackson
CC BY 4.0 · Cherie Martin
R

Rick Jackson

49¢
Wikipedia bio

Richard Lee Jackson is an American billionaire businessman and politician. He is the founder and CEO of Jackson Healthcare, a healthcare staffing and services company, in Alpharetta, Georgia.

Source: Rick Jackson (businessman)
VS
Keisha Lance Bottoms
Public domain · Executive Office of the President of the United States
D

Keisha Lance Bottoms

53¢
Wikipedia bio

Keisha Lance Bottoms is an American attorney and politician who served as the 60th mayor of Atlanta, Georgia, from 2018 to 2022. Previously, she served as a member of the Atlanta City Council from 2010 to 2018, representing part of Southwest Atlanta.

Source: Keisha Lance Bottoms
53¢
Polymarket · Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · 53¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Brian Kemp (R) is the incumbent, term-limited. The ratings consensus is Toss-up. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Rick Jackson +1.7. Kalshi Rick Jackson 51¢ (mid). Polymarket Keisha Lance Bottoms 53¢ (mid). Kalshi favors Rick Jackson at 50¢. Polymarket favors Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) at 52¢. The poll’s Democratic edge is 5.7 points smaller than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+2.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+0.2.

Poll average leader is Rick Jackson (R) (+1.7). Polymarket prices Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) at 52¢.

Polling average

  • Rick Jackson (R)48.6%
  • Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)46.9%

mean of 5 published aggregator averages, equal-weighted. The Wikipedia 'Average' row is not included, so this is not a double count. Undecided is left as published and is not allocated.

Polling averageas of October 4, 2026

Published aggregator averages

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

Kalshi favors Rick Jackson at 50¢. Polymarket favors Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) at 52¢.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiRick Jackson 51¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 527 hours
PolymarketKeisha Lance Bottoms 53¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 696 hours
KalshiKeisha Lance Bottoms 50¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours
PolymarketRick Jackson 49¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours
Marker Oct 17, 8:00 AM EDT · Quantus Insights (R) field ended
Marker Oct 13, 8:00 AM EDT · InsiderAdvantage (R) field ended
Marker Oct 3, 8:00 AM EDT · Wedgewood Polls field ended
Marker Sep 23, 8:00 AM EDT · InsiderAdvantage (R) field ended
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026
Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

n/a (governors file with states, not the FEC)

Recent polls

Table via Wikipedia.

Latest news

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Georgia election office ↗

· snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live

2026 Georgia Governor Race: Polls, Ratings & Odds | ShowdownWire