Iowa 2026

5 rated races and 1 House seat no forecaster rates as competitive. Market prices are prices, not forecasts.

• SenateIowa SenatePolymarket: Republican Ashley Hinson 58%Toss-up
• GovernorIowa GovernorPolymarket: Democrat Rob Sand 89%Leans Democratic
• HouseIowa’s 1st DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Christina Bohannan 91%Leans Democratic
• HouseIowa’s 2nd DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Lindsay James 59%Toss-up
• HouseIowa’s 3rd DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott 82%Leans Democratic