Iowa 3
Zach Nunn (R) · Cook PVI R+2 · last result 51.9% R
Zach Nunn
Wikipedia bio
Zachary Martin Nunn is an American politician and United States Air Force officer who has served as the U.S. representative for Iowa's 3rd congressional district since 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he was a member of the Iowa Senate for the 15th district from 2019 to 2023 and the Iowa House of Representatives for the 30th district from 2015 to 2019.
Source: Zach NunnDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Zach Nunn (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Sarah Trone Garriott 81¢ (mid). Polymarket Sarah Trone Garriott 82¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+13.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+8.2.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Tossup
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tilt D (flip)
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Likely D (flip)
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely D (flip)
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Sarah Trone Garriott (D)82¢mid · spread 2¢
- Zach Nunn (R)19¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live