Iowa Governor 2026
Kim Reynolds (R) · retiring · Cook PVI R+6 · last result 58.04% R
Rob Sand
Wikipedia bio
Robert Howard Sand is an American lawyer and politician who has served since 2019 as the 33rd state auditor of Iowa. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the assistant attorney general of Iowa from 2010 to 2017.
Source: Rob SandDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Kim Reynolds (R) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Lean D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Rob Sand +8.0. Kalshi Rob Sand 87¢ (mid). Polymarket Rob Sand 88¢ (mid). The poll’s Democratic edge is 67.5 points smaller than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+13.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+8.2.
Polling average
- Zach Lahn (R)43.4%
- Rob Sand (D)51.4%
mean of 5 published aggregator averages, equal-weighted. The Wikipedia 'Average' row is not included, so this is not a double count. Undecided is left as published and is not allocated.
Published aggregator averages
- 270toWinSand +8.0% · updated October 9, 2026
- Decision Desk HQSand +8.6% · updated October 19, 2026
- FiftyPlusOneSand +7.6% · updated October 19, 2026
- RealClearPoliticsSand +8.3% · updated October 15, 2026
- Silver BulletinSand +7.5% · updated October 15, 2026
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tilt D (flip)
- Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Lean D (flip)
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Likely D (flip)
- Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Lean D (flip)
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Rob Sand (D)88¢mid · spread 2¢
- Zach Lahn (R)13¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
n/a (governors file with states, not the FEC)
Recent polls
- NPA PollingOctober 8–12, 2026678 (LV) ± 3.8%Zach Lahn 45 · Rob Sand 50
- YouGovOctober 6–12, 20262,245 (LV) ± 3.1%Zach Lahn 44 · Rob Sand 50
- Marist UniversityOctober 8–11, 2026TBA (LV) ± 6.6%Zach Lahn 45 · Rob Sand 52
- Marist UniversityOctober 8–11, 20261,100 (RV) ± 4.5%Zach Lahn 43 · Rob Sand 54
- Emerson CollegeOctober 5–6, 2026650 (LV) ± 3.8%Zach Lahn 45 · Rob Sand 49
- SSRSSeptember 29 – October 5, 2026801 (LV) ± 4.2%Zach Lahn 42 · Rob Sand 51
Table via Wikipedia.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.
· snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live