Connecticut Governor 2026

Name: 2026 Connecticut Governor election
Start: 2026-11-03
End: 2026-11-03
Location: Connecticut

Ned Lamont (D) · running · Cook PVI D+8 · last result 55.97% D

Safe DShare card

Republican

Ryan Fazio

3¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Ryan Michael Fazio is an American businessman and politician who is a member of the Connecticut State Senate for the 36th district. A member of the Republican Party, he won election in 2021 following the resignation of Democratic incumbent Alexandra Kasser, and was re-elected in 2022 and 2024.

Source: Ryan Fazio

Democratic

Ned Lamont

97¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Edward Miner Lamont Jr. is an American politician and businessman serving since 2019 as the 89th governor of Connecticut. A member of the Democratic Party, he served from 1987 to 1989 as a Greenwich selectman, and was the Democratic nominee for the United States Senate in 2006, losing to independent incumbent Joe Lieberman.

Source: Ned Lamont

Polymarket · Ned Lamont (D) · 97¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Ned Lamont (D) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Ned Lamont 96¢ (mid). Polymarket Ned Lamont 97¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+14.5. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+20.1.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Safe D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid D
Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Likely D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Solid D
Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Solid D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

Ned Lamont96¢mid · spread 1¢
Ryan Fazio4¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

Ned Lamont (D)97¢mid · spread 1¢
Ryan Fazio (R)3¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT

WindowSep 20, 10:00 AM EDT

KalshiNed Lamont 96¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 52 hours

PolymarketNed Lamont 97¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 681 hours

KalshiRyan Fazio 4¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

PolymarketRyan Fazio 3¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
Connecticut Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Connecticut Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Connecticut Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Connecticut Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Connecticut Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Connecticut election office ↗

Updated Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live