ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Hawaii Governor

Josh Green (D) · running · Cook PVI D+13 · last result 63.21% D

Gary Cordery
CC BY 3.0 · ThinkTech Hawaii
Republican

Gary Cordery

VS
Josh Green
CC BY-SA 4.0 · Aloha102
Democratic

Josh Green

99¢
Wikipedia bio

Joshua Booth Green is an American politician and physician serving since 2022 as the ninth governor of Hawaii. A member of the Democratic Party, he served from 2018 to 2022 as the 15th lieutenant governor of Hawaii.

Source: Josh Green (politician)
99¢
Polymarket · Josh Green (D) · 99¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Josh Green (D) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Josh Green 98¢ (mid). Polymarket Josh Green 99¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+23.1. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+29.5.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 8:36 PM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:36 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiJosh Green 98¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 21 hours
PolymarketJosh Green 99¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours
KalshiGary Cordery 1¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026
Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live

Hawaii Governor · ShowdownWire