ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Maine Governor

Janet Mills (D) · term-limited · Cook PVI D+4 · last result 55.69% D

VS
Robert B. Charles
CC BY-SA 4.0 · Hoveros
Republican

Robert B. Charles

4¢
Wikipedia bio

Robert Bruce Charles is an American lawyer. He served as the Assistant Secretary of State for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs from 2003 to 2005.

Source: Robert B. Charles
Hannah Pingree
CC BY 4.0 · Hannah Pingree for Governor
Democratic

Hannah Pingree

95¢
Wikipedia bio

Hannah M. Pingree is an American politician who served as the 99th speaker of the Maine House of Representatives from 2008 to 2010.

Source: Hannah Pingree
95¢
Polymarket · Hannah Pingree (D) · 95¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Janet Mills (D) is the incumbent, term-limited. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Hannah Pingree 94¢ (mid). Polymarket Hannah Pingree 95¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+6.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+9.1.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 8:35 PM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:35 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiHannah Pingree 94¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 39 hours
PolymarketHannah Pingree 95¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 687 hours
KalshiRobert Charles 6¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
PolymarketRobert Charles 4¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026
Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live

Maine Governor · ShowdownWire