Florida 9
Darren Soto (D) · Cook PVI R+8 · last result 55.1% D
Darren Soto
Wikipedia bio
Darren Michael Soto is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district since 2017. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously represented the 49th district in the Florida House of Representatives from 2007 to 2012 and the 14th district in the Florida Senate from 2012 to 2016, representing parts of Central Florida.
Source: Darren SotoDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Darren Soto (D) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Dan Green 70¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+13.1. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+3.4.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Likely R (flip)
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Likely R (flip)
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Likely R (flip)
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Lean R (flip)
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Tossup
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Tossup
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely R (flip)
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Tossup
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Lean R (flip)
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Dan Green (R)70¢mid · spread 1¢
- Darren Soto (D)30¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live