Florida 2026
21 rated races and 9 House seats no forecaster rates as competitive. Market prices are prices, not forecasts.
- SenateFlorida Senate specialPolymarket: Republican Ashley Moody 91%Likely Republican
- GovernorFlorida GovernorPolymarket: Republican Byron Donalds 81%Leans Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 2nd DistrictPolymarket: Republican Austin Rogers 93%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 3rd DistrictPolymarket: Republican Kat Cammack 95%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 4th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Aaron Bean 84%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 5th DistrictPolymarket: Republican John Rutherford 93%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 7th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Ryan Elijah 74%Leans Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 8th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Mike Haridopolos 95%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 9th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Dan Green 70%Leans Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 11th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Joe Strada 87%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 12th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Gus Bilirakis 92%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 13th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Anna Paulina Luna 75%Leans Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 14th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Kathy Castor 70%Leans Democratic
- HouseFlorida’s 15th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Laurel Lee 95%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 16th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Sydney Gruters 80%Likely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 18th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Scott Franklin 95%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 21st DistrictPolymarket: Republican Brian Mast 90%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 22nd DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Pia Dandiya 55%Toss-up
- HouseFlorida’s 25th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Jared Moskowitz 89%Leans Democratic
- HouseFlorida’s 26th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Mario Díaz-Balart 89%Safely Republican
- HouseFlorida’s 27th DistrictPolymarket: Republican María Elvira Salazar 68%Leans Republican