Nevada 2

Mark Amodei (R) · retiring · Cook PVI R+7 · last result 55.0% R

Mark Amodei

Wikipedia bio

Mark Eugene Amodei is an American lawyer and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district since 2011. Previously, Amodei served in the Nevada Assembly from 1997 to 1999 and in the Nevada Senate from 1999 to 2011.

Source: Mark Amodei

Polymarket · David Flippo (R) · 72¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Mark Amodei (R) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Likely R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket David Flippo 72¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+3.1. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+2.4.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Likely R
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Likely R
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Lean R
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely R
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean R
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Likely R
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Lean R
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Tossup
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Likely R
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Likely R

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 10:31 PM EDT

David Flippo (R)72¢mid · spread 1¢
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)28¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:51 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

PolymarketDavid Flippo 72¢ at Oct 19, 9:51 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 691 hours

PolymarketTeresa Benitez-Thompson 28¢ at Oct 19, 9:51 PM EDT· hourly pull · 7 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT · mode live