Nevada 4
Steven Horsford (D) · Cook PVI D+2 · last result 52.7% D
Steven Horsford
Wikipedia bio
Steven Alexzander Horsford is an American politician and businessman serving as the U.S. representative for Nevada's 4th congressional district since 2019, previously holding the position from 2013 to 2015. He also served as chair of the Congressional Black Caucus from 2023 to 2025.
Source: Steven HorsfordDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Steven Horsford (D) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Likely D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Steven Horsford 95¢ (mid). Polymarket Steven Horsford 96¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+3.1. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+2.4.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Likely D
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Likely D
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Likely D
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely D
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Likely D
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid D
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe D
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Safe D
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Likely D
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe D
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Steven Horsford95¢mid · spread 4¢
- Cody Whipple4¢mid · spread 3¢
- Steven Horsford (D)96¢mid · spread 3¢
- Cody Whipple (R)3¢mid · spread 2¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
- marketNevada 4: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketNevada 4: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketNevada 4: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live