ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Tennessee 9

Steve Cohen (D) · retiring · Cook PVI R+9 · last result 71.3% D

Steve Cohen
Public domain · Official portrait, United States Congress
D

Steve Cohen

Wikipedia bio

Stephen Ira Cohen is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative from Tennessee's 9th congressional district, a majority-minority district centered in Memphis, since 2007. Previously, he served in the Tennessee Senate from 1983 to 2006.

Source: Steve Cohen (politician)
87¢
Polymarket · Brent Taylor (R) · 87¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Steve Cohen (D) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Brent Taylor 87¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+29.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+23.2.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:38 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
PolymarketBrent Taylor 87¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 682 hours
PolymarketJustin Pearson 14¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026
Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live

Tennessee 9 · ShowdownWire