Tennessee Senate
Bill Hagerty (R) · running · Cook PVI R+14 · last result 62.20% R
Marquita Bradshaw
Wikipedia bio
Marquita Bradshaw is an American environmentalist, activist, and political candidate. She was the Democratic nominee in the 2020 United States Senate election in Tennessee, the first African American woman to win a major political party nomination in any statewide race in Tennessee.
Source: Marquita BradshawTharon Chandler
Andrew Gerena
Bill Hagerty
Wikipedia bio
William Francis Hagerty IV is an American politician, businessman, and diplomat serving as the junior United States senator from Tennessee since 2021. A member of the Republican Party, he served as the 30th United States ambassador to Japan from 2017 to 2019 under President Donald Trump.
Source: Bill HagertyJeremy Hearn
Robert Jones
James Macon III
Yoshi Matthews
David Sutman Jr.
Catherine Whitson
Desk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Bill Hagerty (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Bill Hagerty 96¢ (mid). Polymarket Bill Hagerty 96¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+29.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+23.2.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct 6, 2026Solid R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct 14, 2026Safe R
- Inside ElectionsOct 15, 2026Solid R
- Decision Desk HQOct 15, 2026Safe R
- RealClearPoliticsOct 12, 2026Solid R
- Silver BulletinOct 15, 2026Solid R
- FiftyPlusOneOct 17, 2026Safe R
- The EconomistOct 15, 2026Safe R
- Fox NewsOct 13, 2026Solid R
- Split TicketOct 18, 2026Safe R
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Bill Hagerty96¢mid · spread 0¢
- Marquita Bradshaw4¢mid · spread 0¢
- Bill Hagerty (R)96¢mid · spread 1¢
- Marquita Bradshaw (D)4¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
Latest news
What changed
- marketTennessee Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketTennessee Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketTennessee Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketTennessee Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live