ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Ohio Senate special 2026

Jon Husted (R) · running · Cook PVI R+5 · last result Appointed (2025)

Toss-upShare card
Jon Husted
Public domain · United States Senate
R

Jon Husted

36¢
Polymarket price
Wikipedia bio

Jon Allen Husted is an American politician serving since 2025 as the junior United States senator from Ohio. A member of the Republican Party, he served from 2019 to 2025 as the 66th lieutenant governor of Ohio and from 2011 to 2019 as the 50th Ohio secretary of state.

Source: Jon Husted
VS
Sherrod Brown
Public domain · U.S. Senate Photographic Services; Rebecca Hammel
D

Sherrod Brown

64¢
Polymarket price
Wikipedia bio

Sherrod Campbell Brown ( SHERR-əd; born November 9, 1952) is an American politician who served from 2007 to 2025 as a United States senator from Ohio. Previously, he served in the Ohio House of Representatives from 1975 to 1983, was Ohio secretary of state from 1983 to 1991, and was the U.S. representative for Ohio's 13th congressional district from 1993 to 2007.

Source: Sherrod Brown
64¢
Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) · 64¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Jon Husted (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Toss-up. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Sherrod Brown +3.0. Kalshi Sherrod Brown 65¢ (mid). Polymarket Sherrod Brown 64¢ (mid). The poll’s Democratic edge is 25.0 points smaller than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+11.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+8.0. BROWN, SHERROD leads the stored FEC receipts at $61,686,820.

Polling average

  • Jon Husted (R)44.8%
  • Sherrod Brown (D)47.8%

mean of 5 published aggregator averages, equal-weighted. The Wikipedia 'Average' row is not included, so this is not a double count. Undecided is left as published and is not allocated.

Polling averageas of October 3, 2026

Published aggregator averages

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:15 AM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:15 AM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiSherrod Brown 65¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 631 hours
PolymarketSherrod Brown 64¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 696 hours
KalshiJon Husted 36¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours
PolymarketJon Husted 36¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 AM EDT · Marist University field ended
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 AM EDT · ActiVote field ended
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 AM EDT · Rasmussen Reports (R) field ended
Marker Oct 6, 8:00 AM EDT · co/efficient (R) field ended
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 6, 2026
Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 19, 2026
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

  • BROWN, SHERROD
    DEMOCRATIC PARTY · raised $61,686,820 · cash $4,861,452
    Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
  • HUSTED, JON
    REPUBLICAN PARTY · raised $19,208,763 · cash $8,883,293
    Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
  • ODE, FREDERICK J
    DEMOCRATIC PARTY · raised $5,001,939 · cash $24,799
    Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot
  • LEVY, GREGORY LEE
    INDEPENDENT · raised $124,610 · cash $23,961
    Through 2026-09-30 · carried from the previous snapshot

Recent polls

Table via Wikipedia.

Latest news

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Ohio election office ↗

· snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live

2026 Ohio Senate Special Election: Polls, Ratings & Odds | ShowdownWire