ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Ohio Governor

Mike DeWine (R) · term-limited · Cook PVI R+5 · last result 62.41% R

Toss-upShare card
Vivek Ramaswamy
CC BY-SA 4.0 · Gage Skidmore
R

Vivek Ramaswamy

28¢
Wikipedia bio

Vivek Ganapathy Ramaswamy is an American entrepreneur and politician. He founded Roivant Sciences, a biotechnological pharmaceutical company, in 2014 and was its chief executive officer until 2021.

Source: Vivek Ramaswamy
VS
Amy Acton
CC0 · Patricio101
D

Amy Acton

73¢
Wikipedia bio

Amy Leigh Acton is an American physician and researcher who is the Democratic nominee for governor of Ohio. Born in Youngstown, Ohio, Acton served as the director of the Ohio Department of Health, in which capacity she led Ohio's COVID-19 pandemic response from 2019 to 2020.

Source: Amy Acton
73¢
Polymarket · Amy Acton (D) · 73¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Mike DeWine (R) is the incumbent, term-limited. The ratings consensus is Toss-up. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. The polling average is led by Amy Acton +4.6. Kalshi Amy Acton 71¢ (mid). Polymarket Amy Acton 73¢ (mid). The poll’s Democratic edge is 40.4 points smaller than the market’s. The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+11.2. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+8.0.

Polling average

  • Vivek Ramaswamy (R)44%
  • Amy Acton (D)48.6%

mean of 5 published aggregator averages, equal-weighted. The Wikipedia 'Average' row is not included, so this is not a double count. Undecided is left as published and is not allocated.

Polling averageas of October 4, 2026

Published aggregator averages

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 8:36 PM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:36 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiAmy Acton 70¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 548 hours
PolymarketAmy Acton 73¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours
KalshiVivek Ramaswamy 31¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
PolymarketVivek Ramaswamy 28¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
Marker Oct 6, 8:00 AM EDT · co/efficient (R) field ended
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 AM EDT · SSRS field ended
Marker Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDT · YouGov field ended
Marker Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDT · Big Data Poll (R) field ended
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

n/a (governors file with states, not the FEC)

Recent polls

Table via Wikipedia.

Latest news

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live

Ohio Governor · ShowdownWire