Rhode Island Senate

Jack Reed (D) · running · Cook PVI D+8 · last result 66.48% D

Safe DShare card

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Independent

Michael Bahry

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Republican

Raymond McKay

1¢

Polymarket price

Democratic

Jack Reed

98¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

John Francis Reed is an American politician, lawyer, and former Army officer serving as the senior United States senator from Rhode Island, a seat he was first elected to in 1996. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the U.S. representative for Rhode Island's 2nd congressional district from 1991 to 1997.

Source: Jack Reed (Rhode Island politician)

Polymarket · Jack Reed (D) · 98¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Jack Reed (D) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Jack Reed 98¢ (mid). Polymarket Jack Reed 98¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+13.8. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+20.8.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct 6, 2026Solid D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct 14, 2026Safe D
Inside ElectionsOct 15, 2026Solid D
Decision Desk HQOct 15, 2026Safe D
RealClearPoliticsOct 12, 2026Solid D
Silver BulletinOct 15, 2026Solid D
FiftyPlusOneOct 17, 2026Safe D
The EconomistOct 15, 2026Safe D
Fox NewsOct 13, 2026Solid D
Split TicketOct 18, 2026Safe D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 7:30 PM EDT

Jack Reed98¢mid · spread 1¢
Raymond McKay1¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 7:30 PM EDT

Jack Reed (D)98¢mid · spread 2¢
Raymond McKay (R)1¢mid · spread 2¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 8:00 PM EDT

KalshiJack Reed 98¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 24 hours

PolymarketJack Reed 99¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 680 hours

KalshiRaymond McKay 1¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours

PolymarketRaymond McKay 1¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 6, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 15, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 13, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 12, 2026

Marker Oct 13, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 14, 2026

Marker Oct 17, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 18, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
Rhode Island Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Rhode Island Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Rhode Island Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Rhode Island Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live