ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Idaho Governor 2026

Brad Little (R) · running · Cook PVI R+18 · last result 60.52% R

Brad Little
CC BY-SA 4.0 · Phil White/Office of the Governor of Idaho.
Republican

Brad Little

98¢
Wikipedia bio

Bradley Jay Little is an American politician serving since 2019 as the 33rd governor of Idaho. A member of the Republican Party, he served as the 42nd lieutenant governor of Idaho from 2009 to 2019 and as an Idaho state senator from 2001 to 2009.

Source: Brad Little
VS
Constitution

Pro-Life

Wikipedia bio

Pro-Life is an American perennial candidate and strawberry farmer known for his strong opposition to abortion, which inspired him to legally change his name. He lives in the unincorporated community of Letha, Idaho.

Source: Pro-Life (politician)
Libertarian

Paul Sand

Independent

John Stegner

Wikipedia bio

John R. Stegner is an American attorney and a former justice of the Idaho Supreme Court, having served from 2018-2023.

Source: John Stegner
98¢
Polymarket · Brad Little (R) · 98¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Brad Little (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Brad Little 98¢ (mid). Polymarket Brad Little 98¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+36.5. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+30.8.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiBrad Little 98¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 32 hours
PolymarketBrad Little 98¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 693 hours
KalshiTerri Pickens 2¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours
PolymarketTerri Pickens 2¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026
Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

What changed

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Idaho election office ↗

· snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live

2026 Idaho Governor Race: Ratings & Odds | ShowdownWire